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The Burden of Voting in the 2019 Canadian Federal Election

Appendix F

Table 1: The turnout gap among Indigenous people on or off reserves
(OLS estimations)
Certain to Vote (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Indigenous on reserve -0.252*** -0.195*** -0.166*** -0.137*** -0.099**
(0.025) (0.024) (0.022) (0.021) (0.032)
Indigenous off reserve -0.065*** -0.035*** -0.027*** -0.016* -0.020
(0.008) (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.010)
18-24 - -0.103*** -0.102*** -0.050*** -0.050***
- (0.009) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
25-34 - -0.049*** -0.040*** -0.017** -0.017**
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
35-44 - -0.033*** -0.024*** -0.017*** -0.017***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
55-64 - 0.051*** 0.019*** 0.012* 0.012*
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005)
65+ - 0.090*** 0.029*** 0.017* 0.017*
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Female - -0.019*** 0.012*** 0.015*** 0.015***
- (0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
Other Language - -0.007 0.012 0.011 0.010
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Foreign Born - -0.059*** -0.050*** -0.043*** -0.043***
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Prairies - 0.033*** 0.027*** 0.024*** 0.024***
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
BC - -0.001 0.006 0.010 0.010
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Atlantic - -0.022** 0.002 0.000 0.000
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Territories - -0.063** -0.048* -0.052* -0.052*
- (0.023) (0.021) (0.020) (0.020)
Quebec - -0.002 0.015** 0.018*** 0.018***
- (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Education - -0.087*** -0.043*** -0.039*** -0.039***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
High Education - 0.040*** 0.004 0.004 0.004
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Income - -0.061*** -0.034*** -0.018** -0.018**
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005)
High Income - 0.043*** 0.019*** 0.013*** 0.013***
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Unemployed - -0.050*** -0.037*** -0.029** -0.029**
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009)
Student - 0.031** 0.010 0.016 0.016
- (0.012) (0.011) (0.010) (0.010)
Retired - 0.004 0.005 0.006 0.006
- (0.007) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
Caregiver - -0.061*** -0.041*** -0.036*** -0.037***
- (0.012) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Other - -0.030** -0.035*** -0.013 -0.013
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009)
Not Married - -0.027*** -0.022*** -0.019*** -0.019***
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Moved - -0.033*** -0.031*** -0.010* -0.010*
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Interest in Politics - - 0.331*** 0.268*** 0.268***
- - (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Duty - - 0.243*** 0.218*** 0.218***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Party ID - - 0.068*** 0.039*** 0.039***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Register - - - -0.126*** -0.124***
- - - (0.006) (0.006)
Decision - - - -0.040*** -0.040***
- - - (0.002) (0.002)
Polling Station - - - -0.083*** -0.085***
- - - (0.003) (0.003)
Casting a Ballot - - - -0.051*** -0.050***
- - - (0.004) (0.004)
Indigenous on reserve # Register - - - - 0.015
- - - - (0.049)
Indigenous off reserve # Register - - - - -0.027
- - - - (0.020)
Indigenous on reserve # Decision - - - - 0.049
- - - - (0.027)
Indigenous off reserve # Decision - - - - -0.008
- - - - (0.008)
Indigenous on reserve # Polling Station - - - - -0.026
- - - - (0.033)
Indigenous off reserve # Polling Station - - - - 0.023
- - - - (0.013)
Indigenous on reserve # Casting a Ballot - - - - -0.108**
- - - - (0.033)
Indigenous off reserve # Casting a Ballot - - - - 0.012
- - - - (0.014)
Constant 0.835*** 0.847*** 0.397*** 0.547*** 0.547***
(0.002) (0.006) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
Observations 39284 39284 39284 39284 39284
R2 0.004 0.069 0.239 0.296 0.296

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001

Table 2: The turnout gap among people with different levels of disability
(OLS estimations)
Certain to Vote (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Moderate Disability -0.060*** -0.043*** -0.032*** -0.013*** -0.003
(0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.006)
Severe Disability -0.151*** -0.099*** -0.074*** -0.030*** -0.019*
(0.007) (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.010)
18-24 - -0.100*** -0.099*** -0.048*** -0.048***
- (0.009) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
25-34 - -0.053*** -0.043*** -0.019*** -0.019***
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
35-44 - -0.036*** -0.026*** -0.018*** -0.018***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
55-64 - 0.047*** 0.016** 0.010 0.010
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005)
65+ - 0.082*** 0.024*** 0.014* 0.013
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Female - -0.016*** 0.014*** 0.016*** 0.016***
- (0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
Racial Minority - -0.063*** -0.051*** -0.041*** -0.042***
- (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Other Language - 0.006 0.022* 0.019 0.019
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Foreign Born - -0.039*** -0.034*** -0.029*** -0.029***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Prairies - 0.032*** 0.027*** 0.024*** 0.024***
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
BC - -0.003 0.005 0.009 0.009
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Atlantic - -0.026*** -0.002 -0.002 -0.002
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Territories - -0.067** -0.051* -0.053** -0.053**
- (0.023) (0.021) (0.020) (0.020)
Quebec - -0.009 0.009* 0.015*** 0.014***
- (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Education - -0.083*** -0.040*** -0.038*** -0.038***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
High Education - 0.036*** 0.001 0.003 0.003
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Income - -0.047*** -0.024*** -0.014* -0.013*
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
High Income - 0.036*** 0.013*** 0.010** 0.010**
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Unemployed - -0.041*** -0.030** -0.026** -0.026**
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009)
Student - 0.032** 0.011 0.017 0.017
- (0.012) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Retired - 0.009 0.009 0.007 0.007
- (0.007) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
Caregiver - -0.056*** -0.037*** -0.036*** -0.036***
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Other - 0.003 -0.010 -0.003 -0.003
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Not Married - -0.024*** -0.020*** -0.018*** -0.017***
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Moved - -0.032*** -0.030*** -0.011* -0.011*
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Interest in Politics - - 0.327*** 0.267*** 0.267***
- - (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Duty - - 0.242*** 0.218*** 0.218***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Party ID - - 0.068*** 0.039*** 0.039***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Register - - - -0.125*** -0.121***
- - - (0.006) (0.008)
Decision - - - -0.040*** -0.036***
- - - (0.002) (0.002)
Polling Station - - - -0.082*** -0.084***
- - - (0.003) (0.004)
Casting a Ballot - - - -0.049*** -0.047***
- - - (0.004) (0.005)
Moderate Disability # Register - - - - -0.022
- - - - (0.012)
Moderate Disability # Decision - - - - -0.009*
- - - - (0.004)
Moderate Disability # Polling Station - - - - 0.002
- - - - (0.008)
Moderate Disability # Casting a Ballot - - - - -0.002
- - - - (0.008)
Severe Disability # Register - - - - 0.019
- - - - (0.016)
Severe Disability # Decision - - - - -0.016*
- - - - (0.006)
Severe Disability # Polling Station - - - - 0.010
- - - - (0.009)
Severe Disability # Casting a Ballot - - - - -0.006
- - - - (0.011)
Constant 0.855*** 0.873*** 0.421*** 0.558*** 0.555***
(0.002) (0.007) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
Observations 39283 39283 39283 39283 39283
R2 0.013 0.077 0.243 0.297 0.298

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001

Table 3: The turnout gap among those who have never voted before (OLS estimations)
Certain to Vote (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
New Canadians -0.136*** -0.089* -0.073* -0.054 -0.056
(0.041) (0.040) (0.037) (0.036) (0.057)
First-time electors (aged 18–21) -0.124*** -0.033* -0.038** -0.026* -0.004
(0.012) (0.014) (0.013) (0.013) (0.020)
Abstainer -0.520*** -0.434*** -0.297*** -0.228*** -0.228***
(0.009) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009) (0.015)
18-24 - -0.028** - -0.015 -0.014
- - -0.046*** - -
- (0.010) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
25-34 - - - -0.012* -0.012*
- -0.035*** -0.031*** - -
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
35-44 - - -0.017** -0.013* -0.013*
- -0.023*** - - -
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
55-64 - 0.043*** 0.016** 0.010 0.010
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
65+ - 0.075*** 0.023*** 0.013 0.013
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Female - - 0.010** 0.015*** 0.014***
- -0.018*** - - -
- (0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
Racial Minority - - - - -
- -0.056*** -0.047*** -0.038*** -0.038***
- (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Other Language - 0.017 0.028** 0.024* 0.024*
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Foreign Born - -0.015** - - -
- - -0.017*** -0.019*** -0.019***
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Prairies - 0.032*** 0.027*** 0.023*** 0.023***
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.004) (0.004)
BC - -0.003 0.004 0.009 0.008
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Atlantic - -0.025** -0.003 -0.004 -0.004
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Territories - -0.071** -0.055** -0.056** -0.056**
- (0.023) (0.021) (0.020) (0.020)
Quebec - -0.006 0.011* 0.015*** 0.015***
- (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Education - - - - -
- -0.066*** -0.031*** -0.031*** -0.031***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
High Education - 0.034*** 0.003 0.003 0.003
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Income - - - -0.016** -0.016**
- -0.053*** -0.031*** - -
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005)
High Income - 0.038*** 0.017*** 0.012** 0.011**
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Unemployed - - -0.029** -0.024** -0.024**
- -0.037*** - - -
- (0.010) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009)
Student - 0.032** 0.013 0.018 0.016
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Retired - 0.004 0.005 0.006 0.006
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
Caregiver - - - - -
- -0.052*** -0.036*** -0.034*** -0.034***
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Other - -0.030** - -0.015 -0.014
- - -0.035*** - -
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009)
Not Married - - - - -
- -0.026*** -0.022*** -0.019*** -0.019***
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Moved - - - -0.010* -0.010*
- -0.027*** -0.027*** - -
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Interest in Politics - - 0.309*** 0.255*** 0.254***
- - (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Duty - - 0.226*** 0.208*** 0.207***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Party ID - - 0.064*** 0.037*** 0.038***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Register - - - -0.094*** -0.109***
- - - (0.006) (0.007)
Decision - - - -0.040*** -0.038***
- - - (0.002) (0.002)
Polling Station - - - -0.081*** -0.083***
- - - (0.003) (0.003)
Casting a Ballot - - - -0.046*** -0.044***
- - - (0.003) (0.004)
New Canadians # Register - - - - 0.076
- - - - (0.124)
First-time electors (aged 18–21) # Register - - - - 0.036
- - - - (0.021)
Abstainer # Register - - - - 0.048***
- - - - (0.014)
New Canadians # Decision - - - - -0.018
- - - - (0.040)
First-time electors (aged 18–21) # Decision - - - - 0.010
- - - - (0.012)
Abstainer # Decision - - - - -
- - - - -0.043***
- - - - (0.008)
New Canadians # Polling Station - - - - -0.005
- - - - (0.066)
First-time electors (aged 18–21) # Polling Station - - - - -0.008
- - - - -
- - - - (0.017)
Abstainer # Polling Station - - - - 0.030*
- - - - (0.012)
New Canadians # Casting a Ballot - - - - 0.038
- - - - (0.077)
First-time electors (aged 18–21) # Casting a Ballot - - - - -
- - - - -0.087***
- - - - (0.018)
Abstainer # Casting a Ballot - - - - 0.024
- - - - (0.014)
Constant 0.854*** 0.861*** 0.438*** 0.571*** 0.572***
(0.002) (0.006) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
Observations 39191 39191 39191 39191 39191
R2 0.076 0.118 0.261 0.308 0.310

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001

Table 4: The turnout gap among NEET (OLS estimations)
Certain to Vote (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
NEET -0.214*** -0.049** -0.033* -0.031* -0.016
(0.014) (0.017) (0.015) (0.015) (0.021)
18-24 - -0.094*** -0.095*** -0.045*** -0.045***
- (0.009) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
25-34 - -0.045*** -0.037*** -0.015** -0.015**
- (0.007) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
35-44 - -0.033*** -0.024*** -0.017*** -0.017***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
55-64 - 0.048*** 0.017** 0.010 0.010
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005)
65+ - 0.085*** 0.026*** 0.014* 0.014*
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Female - -0.019*** 0.012*** 0.015*** 0.015***
- (0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
Racial Minority - -0.066*** -0.053*** -0.042*** -0.042***
- (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Other Language - 0.006 0.022* 0.019 0.019
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
Foreign Born - -0.035*** -0.031*** -0.028*** -0.028***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Prairies - 0.033*** 0.027*** 0.024*** 0.024***
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
BC - -0.002 0.006 0.010 0.010
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Atlantic - -0.025** -0.001 -0.002 -0.002
- (0.008) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Territories - -0.067** -0.051* -0.053** -0.053**
- (0.023) (0.021) (0.020) (0.020)
Quebec - -0.003 0.014** 0.017*** 0.017***
- (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Education - -0.086*** -0.042*** -0.039*** -0.038***
- (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
High Education - 0.041*** 0.005 0.005 0.005
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Low Income - -0.060*** -0.034*** -0.017** -0.018**
- (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005)
High Income - 0.042*** 0.018*** 0.012** 0.012**
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Unemployed - -0.030* -0.024* -0.017 -0.017
- (0.012) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
Student - 0.031** 0.010 0.016 0.016
- (0.012) (0.011) (0.010) (0.010)
Retired - 0.004 0.005 0.006 0.006
- (0.007) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
Caregiver - -0.049*** -0.033** -0.029** -0.029**
- (0.012) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
Other - -0.029** -0.034*** -0.012 -0.012
- (0.011) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009)
Not Married - -0.026*** -0.021*** -0.018*** -0.018***
- (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Moved - -0.034*** -0.031*** -0.011* -0.011*
- (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
Interest in Politics - - 0.329*** 0.267*** 0.267***
- - (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Duty - - 0.244*** 0.219*** 0.219***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Party ID - - 0.067*** 0.038*** 0.038***
- - (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
Register - - - -0.125*** -0.125***
- - - (0.006) (0.006)
Decision - - - -0.040*** -0.040***
- - - (0.002) (0.002)
Polling Station - - - -0.084*** -0.084***
- - - (0.003) (0.003)
Casting a Ballot - - - -0.049*** -0.049***
- - - (0.004) (0.004)
NEET # Register - - - - 0.002
- - - - (0.022)
NEET # Decision - - - - -0.020
- - - - (0.013)
NEET # Polling Station - - - - 0.023
- - - - (0.020)
NEET # Casting a Ballot - - - - -0.010
- - - - (0.021)
Constant 0.834*** 0.853*** 0.403*** 0.553*** 0.552***
(0.002) (0.006) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
Observations 39285 39285 39285 39285 39285
R2 0.006 0.072 0.240 0.297 0.297

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001